Mu mpera z'umwaka wa 2022, mu gihe ingabo za Ukraine zimaze kugera ku ntera ishimishije cyane mu turere twa Kherson (mu majyepfo y'uburengerazuba) na Kharkiv (mu majyaruguru y'uburasirazuba), akarere ka Bakhmut ni kamwe mu murongo udasanzwe aho Uburusiya bukomeje kugaba ibitero.

Evgeni Prigojine yakunze kwishima kuri ibi kandi ntatindiganya kunenga cyane "kwanga" ingabo zisanzwe z’ingabo z’Uburusiya cyane cyane amakosa y’ubuyobozi bwe, yibasiye ku mugaragaro Valery Gerassimov, umukuru w’igihugu, jenerali mukuru w’ingabo z’ingabo z’ingabo. Federasiyo y’Uburusiya, na cyane cyane kuri Serge Shoigu, Minisitiri w’ingabo, mu gihe cyo gutanga amakuru asanzwe yatangajwe ku mbuga nkoranyambaga ya Telegram.

Umuvuduko wubaka kugeza urangije kwigomeka. Abasirikare bo mu itsinda rya Wagner bigaruriye umujyi wa Rostov-on-Don mu Burusiya nta mirwano bakomeza berekeza i Moscou. Amaherezo bahagaritse ibirometero 200 cyangwa 300 uvuye ku murwa mukuru maze amasezerano yo gukuraho escalation asinywa abunzi ba Perezida wa Biyelorusiya Alexander Lukashenko.

Evgeni Prigojine aratumiwe kujya mubuhungiro muri Biyelorusiya hamwe nabarwanyi bifuza kumukurikira. Naho abandi, bazashobora gusinyana amasezerano na Minisiteri y’ingabo kugira ngo binjire mu gisirikare cy’Uburusiya.

Nyuma y'amezi abiri, ariko, umuyobozi w'itsinda rya Wagner yapfuye azize impanuka y'indege mu majyaruguru y'uburengerazuba bwa Moscou. Muri iyo ndege kandi ni Dmitri Outkin, washinze Wagner akaba n'umuntu w’iburyo wa Yevgeni Prigozhin, hamwe n’abandi bantu benshi bagize umuryango w’abaparakomando. Moscou irahakana ko nta ruhare yagize mu isobanura ko ari "impanuka". Itegeko ryitsinda rya Wagner muburyo ubwo aribwo bwose.

Muri bo, umubare munini w’abiyandikishije nyuma y’intambara yatangiriye muri Ukraine kandi benshi muri bo binjijwe mu magereza yo mu Burusiya.

Ariko ni abahoze mu rugerero rwa Wagner bagera ku 2500 kugeza 4000, abasirikari b'inararibonye biyandikishije mbere y'intambara yo muri Ukraine kandi akenshi usanga bafite umwuga muremure wa gisirikare inyuma yabo, bakurura ishyari ryinshi.

Kugeza vuba aha, iherezo ryabo mu ngabo z’Uburusiya ntirisobanutse neza ariko Minisiteri y’ingabo y’Ubwongereza (MoD) ishobora kuba yarakinguye igice cy’amayobera.

Niba twari tumaze amezi menshi tuzi ko ingabo z’Uburusiya zinjije ibintu byinshi bigize umutwe w’abaparakomando mu ngabo zayo, amasezerano y’amasezerano yagaragaje mu mibereho yayo ya buri munsi ku cyumweru tariki ya 12 Ugushyingo ko "bishoboka" ko "abayoboke benshi ba Wagner" bari yinjiye mu buyobozi bwa Rosgvardia, Ingabo z’Uburusiya. Mu nyandiko yo ku ya 21 Nzeri, Ikigo gishinzwe Kwiga Intambara (ISW) cyari kimaze kuvuga ko bishoboka ko habaho ubwo bwumvikane.

Yashinzwe mu 2016, izi ngabo z’abasirikare zigera ku 350.000, ziyobowe na Vladimir Putin, zifite intego nyamukuru yo kubungabunga umutekano n’umutekano w’imbere mu gihugu. Icyakora, uburenganzira bwayo bwakomeje kwaguka uko imyaka yagiye ihita kandi benshi mu bayigize ubu bakorera muri Ukraine.